BlowMe@lemmy.world to No Stupid Questions@lemmy.world · 1 month agoIs there any real physical proof that Jesus christ ever existed?message-squaremessage-square376fedilinkarrow-up1269arrow-down127
arrow-up1242arrow-down1message-squareIs there any real physical proof that Jesus christ ever existed?BlowMe@lemmy.world to No Stupid Questions@lemmy.world · 1 month agomessage-square376fedilink
minus-squarefine_sandy_bottom@discuss.tchncs.delinkfedilinkarrow-up1·1 month agoWe might not be able to calculate the probability but we can conclude that the chances that this tomb is that of Jesus is infinitesimal.
minus-squaredudinax@programming.devlinkfedilinkarrow-up1·1 month agoIf you can’t calculate the probability, then you can’t rationally reach the conclusion that the probability is very low.
minus-squarefine_sandy_bottom@discuss.tchncs.delinkfedilinkarrow-up1·1 month agoOf course you can. I’m unable to calculate the probability that the moon will fall out of the sky tonight but I know that the probability is very low.
minus-squaredudinax@programming.devlinkfedilinkarrow-up1·1 month agoYou can make the simple inductive calculation that the probability is 1 / (total number of nights moon didn’t fall out of sky). You can also look at the total energy needed to de-orbit the moon and come up with a frequencie for events at least of that magnitude. They are easy calculations and they both give infinitesimal results. If that weren’t true, there’d be no way to tell if your intuition were correct.
We might not be able to calculate the probability but we can conclude that the chances that this tomb is that of Jesus is infinitesimal.
If you can’t calculate the probability, then you can’t rationally reach the conclusion that the probability is very low.
Of course you can.
I’m unable to calculate the probability that the moon will fall out of the sky tonight but I know that the probability is very low.
You can make the simple inductive calculation that the probability is 1 / (total number of nights moon didn’t fall out of sky).
You can also look at the total energy needed to de-orbit the moon and come up with a frequencie for events at least of that magnitude.
They are easy calculations and they both give infinitesimal results. If that weren’t true, there’d be no way to tell if your intuition were correct.