I’m really unnerved by it. What are the potential consequences?
There will be no fallout from it. Israel has too many ties to Europe and Americans for Iran to do anything about it.
One day I hope Israel will be held accountable for their actions but that day will not be until after we all are dead.
Honestly theres a path to WW3 here. But it could not be that serious. It would be interesting to see how the US cozies up to Russia while its ally is attacking their ally Iran.
We are already “in” ww3, except because the US and Israel and their allies are the bad guys, it’s not marketed as such.
Well, it could be really bad, or it might only be a little bit bad.
Israel has nuclear weapons, Iran has been trying to develop nuclear weapons and probably has them, and both sides believe God is on their side.
Meanwhile, God’s over here saying “Woah there guys, don’t bring ME in the middle of this. I told all y’all Thou shalt not kill.”
That’s glossing over the many times he tells people to kill each other.
Yeah, but those guys were real assholes.
Unfortunately no, there are a bunch of times in both the Torah and the Bible where God explicitly tells Israel to commit genocide, eg Amalek.
It really depends on how far both sides are willing to escalate.
Israel appears to be emboldened for a variety of reasons. Nobody is stopping their genocide. Hezbollah is on its back foot. Netanyahu sees political gain in a war with Iran. Trump is reckless enough to not reign Israel in.
However, Israel cannot wage all out war without the backing of the US. Iran knows this which is why I think their responses to past Israeli attacks have been fairly measured. These attacks are a serious escalation though and it’s hard to say how Iran may decide to respond.
If they seriously think the US is ready to back Israel in an all out war then we’re going to face consequences globally. Iran has the capacity to obliterate much of the middle east’s oil infrastructure, which the US is heavily invested in. That could cause energy prices to spike and create all kinds of downstream havoc for the global economy.
Ah good point, there’s all the other outcomes that aren’t just military.
It has implications for nuclear armament. Netanyahu needs a forever war to stay in power, and Iran is now further incentivized to arm itself to deter that.
Other countries in similar positions are seeing how having agreed to a non proliforation deal in the past with the US has panned out for Iran.
So more nuclear armament is probably more attractive to certain countries who don’t want to be the Iran or Ukraine of their regions.
That’s an excellent point, there’s a massive incentive and they can see how things are playing out.
How has Irans deal with the US played out?
For many years Iran was enriching uranium and various other countries were like, no pls.
This is a massive oversimplification but basically back in 2014-15 Iran agreed to stop trying to build nuclear weapons capabilities (and have increased surveillance of what it was doing) in exchange for lifted sanctions.
Trump of course undid all that, Biden tried to reinstate it, Trump seems to prefer to let Israel bomb Iran instead.
So in my view what has just been proven here (and in Ukraine) is if you trust the US and don’t arm, you will get attacked by your enemies.
