It just leaves a geopolitical power vacuum into which another opportunistic state would step in and supply them with some equally deadly munitions and financial guarantees.
Who? Russia who is buying weapons from North Korea? China who’s trying to win over the Middle East? This is a needlessly pessimistic assumption.
Wjy not China? Does it embarrass the US? Sure, even Russia who would LOVE to snipe a US ally.
Because they want the Middle East on their side. They’ve been posturing that way for a while now. Israel is inherently a regional pariah state and that’s not changing anytime soon., so I don’t see China making that decision. It works for the US because it has both “needs” for hard power projection in the region and frankly ridiculous amounts of soft power, but China lacks both of these things.
Edit: Russia is impossible because they don’t have the soft power necessary to keep Iran satiated (I think at this point it’s impossible even for the US, but for Russia doubly so) if they make such a step. At least personally, even from a geopolitical perspective if I had to choose between Iran and Israel I’d choose Iran, for a lot of reasons.
Who? Russia who is buying weapons from North Korea? China who’s trying to win over the Middle East? This is a needlessly pessimistic assumption.
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Because they want the Middle East on their side. They’ve been posturing that way for a while now. Israel is inherently a regional pariah state and that’s not changing anytime soon., so I don’t see China making that decision. It works for the US because it has both “needs” for hard power projection in the region and frankly ridiculous amounts of soft power, but China lacks both of these things.
Edit: Russia is impossible because they don’t have the soft power necessary to keep Iran satiated (I think at this point it’s impossible even for the US, but for Russia doubly so) if they make such a step. At least personally, even from a geopolitical perspective if I had to choose between Iran and Israel I’d choose Iran, for a lot of reasons.
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